Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Nov 1 · 14:30 · RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart
Likeliest: RB Leipzig win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
RB Leipzig43%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
VfB Stuttgart33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
RB Leipzig
WinDrawWinWinWin
- Oct 28 · at Energie Cottbus (A)4-1
- Oct 25 · at FC Augsburg (A)6-0
- Oct 18 · v Hamburger SV (H)2-1
- Oct 4 · at Borussia Dortmund (A)1-1
- Sep 27 · at VfL Wolfsburg (A)1-0
VfB Stuttgart
WinWinLossWinWin
- Oct 29 · at FSV Mainz 05 (A)2-0
- Oct 26 · v FSV Mainz 05 (H)2-1
- Oct 23 · at Fenerbahçe (A)0-1
- Oct 18 · at VfL Wolfsburg (A)3-0
- Oct 5 · v Heidenheim (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | RB Leipzig | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 8-1-1 | 7-0-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-2-2 | 6-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.