DFB Pokal (Germany) · Wed, Feb 26 · 19:45 · RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg
Likeliest: RB Leipzig win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
RB Leipzig49%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
VfL Wolfsburg28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
RB Leipzig
LossDrawWinDrawDraw
- Feb 23 · v Heidenheim (H)2-2
- Feb 14 · at FC Augsburg (A)0-0
- Feb 9 · v St. Pauli (H)2-0
- Feb 1 · at FC Union Berlin (A)0-0
- Jan 29 · at Sturm Graz (A)0-1
VfL Wolfsburg
DrawDrawDrawWinDraw
- Feb 22 · v VfL Bochum 1848 (H)1-1
- Feb 15 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)2-1
- Feb 8 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)0-0
- Feb 2 · at Eintracht Frankfurt (A)1-1
- Jan 24 · v Holstein Kiel (H)2-2
| Last 10 games | RB Leipzig | VfL Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-5-2 | 3-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 25% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-0 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.