J2 League (Japan) · Sat, Oct 24 · 05:00 · RB Omiya Ardija vs Yokohama FC
Likeliest: RB Omiya Ardija win · 45%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
RB Omiya Ardija45%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Yokohama FC30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.6 | 1.3 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
RB Omiya Ardija
WinDrawLossWinLoss
- Oct 17 · at Sagan Tosu (A)1-2
- Oct 10 · v Vanraure Hachinohe (H)3-1
- Oct 7 · at Urawa Red Diamonds (A)2-3
- Oct 4 · at Tegevajaro Miyazaki (A)1-1
- Sep 26 · v Ventforet Kofu (H)5-1
Yokohama FC
DrawWinWinLossWin
- Oct 17 · at Tochigi City FC (A)1-0
- Oct 10 · v Oita Trinita (H)1-2
- Oct 7 · at Avispa Fukuoka (A)1-0
- Oct 4 · at Vanraure Hachinohe (A)2-0
- Sep 26 · at Kataller Toyama (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | RB Omiya Ardija | Yokohama FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-5-2 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-2-0 | 4-1-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.