Pro League (Belgium) · Sat, Sep 19 · 16:15 · RC Sporting Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge
Likeliest: RC Sporting Charleroi win · 54%
A tight one: we make it 54% for the home win. The market says 54%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
RC Sporting Charleroi54%54%+1
OursMarket
Draw22%23%−1
OursMarket
Cercle Brugge23%23%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 60% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 62% | 60% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | 77% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | 46% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 77% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 70% | 70% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 2.0 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
RC Sporting Charleroi
WinWinWinLossWin
- Sep 13 · at SV Zulte Waregem (A)1-0
- Sep 5 · v Royale Union Saint-Gilloise (H)2-3
- Aug 29 · at KV Kortrijk (A)3-1
- Aug 22 · v KV Mechelen (H)2-0
- Aug 16 · at Lommel SK (A)1-0
Cercle Brugge
DrawLossLossLossDraw
- Sep 12 · at Oud-Heverlee Leuven (A)1-1
- Sep 6 · v KAA Gent (H)0-3
- Aug 29 · v Lommel SK (H)0-1
- Aug 23 · at Club Brugge KV (A)0-1
- Aug 14 · v Sint-Truidense VV (H)3-3
| Last 10 games | RC Sporting Charleroi | Cercle Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-0-1 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.