3rd Division, Group 1 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 10 · 11:00 · Ready vs FK Union Carl Berner
Likeliest: Ready win · 37%
We make it 43% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 24%.
18 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Ready37%53%−16
OursMarket
Draw27%22%+6
OursMarket
FK Union Carl Berner36%26%+10
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 76% | −18 |
| Both teams score | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | 74% | −10 |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | 47% | +16 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 78% | −6 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | 67% | −16 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Ready
LossWinWinLossWin
- Oct 4 · at Bærum SK (A)2-1
- Sep 26 · v Grei (H)2-3
- Sep 21 · at KFUM Oslo II (A)5-2
- Sep 12 · v Ullern (H)4-3
- Sep 5 · at Frigg (A)2-5
FK Union Carl Berner
DrawWinWinDrawWin
- Oct 3 · v Lokomotiv Oslo (H)4-1
- Sep 29 · v KFUM Oslo II (H)1-1
- Sep 26 · v Frigg (H)6-2
- Sep 19 · at Bærum SK (A)2-1
- Sep 12 · v Nordstrand (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Ready | FK Union Carl Berner |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-2-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.