La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Nov 2 · 20:00 · Real Betis vs Mallorca
Likeliest: Real Betis win · 64%
A tight one: we make it 64% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Real Betis64%——
OursMarket
Draw18%——
OursMarket
Mallorca18%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 82% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 36% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 82% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 78% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Real Betis
WinDrawDrawLossWin
- Oct 30 · at Palma del Río (A)7-1
- Oct 27 · v Atlético Madrid (H)0-2
- Oct 23 · at Genk (A)0-0
- Oct 18 · at Villarreal (A)2-2
- Oct 5 · at Espanyol (A)2-1
Mallorca
WinLossWinDrawWin
- Oct 29 · at Atlètic Sant Just (A)2-0
- Oct 26 · v Levante (H)1-1
- Oct 18 · at Sevilla (A)3-1
- Oct 4 · at Athletic Club (A)1-2
- Sep 27 · v Deportivo Alavés (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Real Betis | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-4-1 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-3 | 2-1-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.