La Liga (Spain) · Sat, Mar 1 · 17:30 · Real Betis vs Real Madrid
Likeliest: Real Betis win · 37%
A tight one: we make it 37% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Real Betis37%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Real Madrid36%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Real Betis
LossWinWinLossWin
- Feb 23 · at Getafe (A)2-1
- Feb 20 · v Gent (H)0-1
- Feb 16 · v Real Sociedad (H)3-0
- Feb 13 · at Gent (A)3-0
- Feb 8 · at Celta de Vigo (A)2-3
Real Madrid
WinDrawWinWinWin
- Feb 26 · at Real Sociedad (A)1-0
- Feb 23 · v Girona (H)2-0
- Feb 19 · v Manchester City (H)3-1
- Feb 15 · at Osasuna (A)1-1
- Feb 11 · at Manchester City (A)3-2
| Last 10 games | Real Betis | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 7-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 7-1-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.