La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Feb 16 · 20:00 · Real Betis vs Real Sociedad
Likeliest: Real Betis win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Real Betis52%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Real Sociedad23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Real Betis
LossWinDrawLossWin
- Feb 13 · at Gent (A)3-0
- Feb 8 · at Celta de Vigo (A)2-3
- Feb 2 · v Athletic Club (H)2-2
- Jan 25 · at Mallorca (A)1-0
- Jan 18 · v Deportivo Alavés (H)1-3
Real Sociedad
WinLossWinWinWin
- Feb 13 · at FC Midtjylland (A)2-1
- Feb 9 · v Espanyol (H)2-1
- Feb 6 · v Osasuna (H)2-0
- Feb 2 · at Osasuna (A)1-2
- Jan 30 · v PAOK (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Real Betis | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-4 | 6-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-0-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.