La Liga 2 (Spain) · Fri, Mar 14 · 19:30 · Real Oviedo vs Elche
Likeliest: Real Oviedo win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Real Oviedo38%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Elche34%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 53% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Real Oviedo
DrawWinWinLossLoss
- Mar 8 · at Mirandés (A)0-1
- Mar 2 · v Deportivo La Coruña (H)1-2
- Feb 22 · at Burgos (A)2-1
- Feb 16 · v Albacete (H)1-0
- Feb 10 · v Eldense (H)0-0
Elche
WinDrawWinLossWin
- Mar 8 · v Castellón (H)3-1
- Mar 2 · at Racing Santander (A)0-2
- Feb 23 · v FC Cartagena (H)2-1
- Feb 17 · at Almería (A)1-1
- Feb 9 · v Tenerife (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Real Oviedo | Elche |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-2 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.