La Liga (Spain) · Sat, Nov 1 · 17:30 · Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club
Likeliest: Real Sociedad win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Real Sociedad45%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Athletic Club28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Real Sociedad
LossLossDrawWinWin
- Oct 28 · at Negreira (A)3-0
- Oct 24 · v Sevilla (H)2-1
- Oct 19 · at Celta de Vigo (A)1-1
- Oct 5 · v Rayo Vallecano (H)0-1
- Sep 28 · at FC Barcelona (A)1-2
Athletic Club
LossDrawWinLossLoss
- Oct 25 · v América Mineiro (H)0-2
- Oct 25 · v Getafe (H)0-1
- Oct 22 · v Qarabağ (H)3-1
- Oct 19 · at Elche (A)0-0
- Oct 18 · at Remo (A)1-3
| Last 10 games | Real Sociedad | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-2-4 | 2-2-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.