La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Feb 9 · 17:30 · Real Sociedad vs Espanyol
Likeliest: Real Sociedad win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Real Sociedad41%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Espanyol33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 56% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Real Sociedad
LossLossWinLossWin
- Feb 6 · v Osasuna (H)2-0
- Feb 2 · at Osasuna (A)1-2
- Jan 30 · v PAOK (H)2-0
- Jan 26 · v Getafe (H)0-3
- Jan 23 · at Lazio (A)1-3
Espanyol
DrawWinDrawWin
- Feb 1 · v Real Madrid (H)1-0
- Jan 25 · at Sevilla (A)1-1
- Jan 17 · v Real Valladolid (H)2-1
- Jan 11 · v Leganés (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Real Sociedad | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-0-4 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | — |
| Both teams scored | 33% | — |
| Clean sheets | 44% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.