La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Jan 26 · 15:15 · Real Sociedad vs Getafe
Likeliest: Real Sociedad win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Real Sociedad41%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Getafe29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Real Sociedad
WinWinWinLossLoss
- Jan 23 · at Lazio (A)1-3
- Jan 19 · at Valencia (A)0-1
- Jan 16 · v Rayo Vallecano (H)3-1
- Jan 13 · v Villarreal (H)1-0
- Jan 5 · at Ponferradina (A)2-0
Getafe
WinWinDraw
- Jan 18 · v FC Barcelona (H)1-1
- Jan 15 · at Pontevedra (A)1-0
- Jan 12 · at Las Palmas (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Real Sociedad | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-0-2 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | — |
| Both teams scored | 40% | — |
| Clean sheets | 40% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.