Copa Del Rey (Spain) · Thu, Feb 6 · 18:30 · Real Sociedad vs Osasuna
Likeliest: Real Sociedad win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Real Sociedad45%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Osasuna28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Real Sociedad
LossLossLossWinLoss
- Feb 2 · at Osasuna (A)1-2
- Jan 30 · v PAOK (H)2-0
- Jan 26 · v Getafe (H)0-3
- Jan 23 · at Lazio (A)1-3
- Jan 19 · at Valencia (A)0-1
Osasuna
LossWinDrawDrawWin
- Feb 2 · v Real Sociedad (H)2-1
- Jan 24 · at Las Palmas (A)1-1
- Jan 19 · v Rayo Vallecano (H)1-1
- Jan 16 · at Athletic Club (A)3-2
- Jan 12 · at Atlético Madrid (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Real Sociedad | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-0-4 | 3-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.