Copa Del Rey (Spain) · Wed, Feb 26 · 20:30 · Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid
Likeliest: Real Madrid win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Real Sociedad30%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Real Madrid45%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 40% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Real Sociedad
WinWinLossWinWin
- Feb 23 · v Leganés (H)3-0
- Feb 20 · v FC Midtjylland (H)5-2
- Feb 16 · at Real Betis (A)0-3
- Feb 13 · at FC Midtjylland (A)2-1
- Feb 9 · v Espanyol (H)2-1
Real Madrid
DrawWinDrawWinWin
- Feb 23 · v Girona (H)2-0
- Feb 19 · v Manchester City (H)3-1
- Feb 15 · at Osasuna (A)1-1
- Feb 11 · at Manchester City (A)3-2
- Feb 8 · v Atlético Madrid (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Real Sociedad | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-0-4 | 7-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-0-1 | 6-1-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.