La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Mar 9 · 20:00 · Real Sociedad vs Sevilla
Likeliest: Real Sociedad win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Real Sociedad41%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Sevilla32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 56% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Real Sociedad
WinWinLossLossDraw
- Mar 6 · v Manchester United (H)1-1
- Mar 2 · at FC Barcelona (A)0-4
- Feb 26 · v Real Madrid (H)0-1
- Feb 23 · v Leganés (H)3-0
- Feb 20 · v FC Midtjylland (H)5-2
Sevilla
DrawLossWinDrawDraw
- Mar 1 · at Rayo Vallecano (A)1-1
- Feb 24 · v Mallorca (H)1-1
- Feb 16 · at Real Valladolid (A)4-0
- Feb 9 · v FC Barcelona (H)1-4
- Feb 1 · at Getafe (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Real Sociedad | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 2-5-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 78% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 22% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-1-2 | 2-2-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.