La Liga (Spain) · Mon, Jan 13 · 20:00 · Real Sociedad vs Villarreal
Likeliest: Real Sociedad win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Real Sociedad38%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Villarreal35%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Real Sociedad
Win
- Jan 5 · at Ponferradina (A)2-0
Villarreal
No recent results tracked.