La Liga (Spain) · Fri, Feb 28 · 20:00 · Real Valladolid vs Las Palmas
Likeliest: Real Valladolid win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Real Valladolid39%——
OursMarket
Draw30%——
OursMarket
Las Palmas32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 70% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 55% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Real Valladolid
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Feb 23 · at Athletic Club (A)1-7
- Feb 16 · v Sevilla (H)0-4
- Feb 7 · at Rayo Vallecano (A)0-1
- Feb 1 · at Villarreal (A)1-5
- Jan 25 · v Real Madrid (H)0-3
Las Palmas
DrawLossLossLossLoss
- Feb 22 · v FC Barcelona (H)0-2
- Feb 16 · at Mallorca (A)1-3
- Feb 8 · v Villarreal (H)1-2
- Feb 3 · at Girona (A)1-2
- Jan 24 · v Osasuna (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Real Valladolid | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-0-7 | 0-1-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.