Ligue 2 (France) · Sat, Apr 4 · 12:00 · Reims vs Boulogne
Likeliest: Reims win · 50%
We make it 61% for both teams to score. The market says 48%.
13 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Reims50%61%−11
OursMarket
Draw23%24%−1
OursMarket
Boulogne27%16%+12
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 49% | +7 |
| Both teams score | 61% | 48% | +13 |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 84% | −12 |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | 39% | +11 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 76% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | 79% | −15 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Reims
DrawLossDrawLossWin
- Mar 21 · at Guingamp (A)2-0
- Mar 14 · v Rodez (H)1-2
- Mar 9 · at Dunkerque (A)1-1
- Mar 3 · at Strasbourg (A)1-2
- Feb 27 · at Montpellier (A)0-0
Boulogne
LossDrawWinWinDraw
- Mar 20 · v Nancy (H)0-0
- Mar 13 · at Bastia (A)1-0
- Mar 6 · v Amiens SC (H)4-2
- Feb 27 · at Grenoble Foot 38 (A)0-0
- Feb 20 · v Clermont (H)0-2
| Last 10 games | Reims | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-5-2 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-3-2 | 3-5-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.