Botola Pro (Morocco) · Thu, Oct 8 · 18:00 · Renaissance Zemamra vs Hassania d'Agadir
Likeliest: Renaissance Zemamra win · 44%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. The market says 45%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Renaissance Zemamra44%45%−1
OursMarket
Draw32%30%+2
OursMarket
Hassania d'Agadir24%25%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 41% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 47% | 47% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | 75% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | 55% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 68% | 70% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | 64% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.1 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Renaissance Zemamra
DrawDrawDrawLossLoss
- Oct 3 · at Raja Club Athletic (A)0-1
- Sep 27 · at MAS de Fès (A)1-2
- Jul 5 · at AS FAR Rabat (A)0-0
- Jul 2 · v Fath Union Sport (H)1-1
- Jun 28 · at Hassania d'Agadir (A)1-1
Hassania d'Agadir
DrawLossDrawWinLoss
- Oct 3 · v MAS de Fès (H)1-2
- Sep 27 · at Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech (A)3-2
- Jul 5 · v Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech (H)1-1
- Jul 2 · at Raja Club Athletic (A)0-2
- Jun 28 · v Renaissance Zemamra (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Renaissance Zemamra | Hassania d'Agadir |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-5 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-2-2 | 2-1-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.