Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Apr 11 · 19:05 · Rennes vs Angers SCO
Likeliest: Rennes win · 54%
A 22% away win. The market says 11%.
11 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Rennes54%70%−16
OursMarket
Draw24%19%+5
OursMarket
Angers SCO22%11%+11
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 57% | −10 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 49% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | 89% | −11 |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | 30% | +16 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 81% | −5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | 86% | −15 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Rennes
WinWinLossDrawWin
- Apr 4 · at Brest (A)4-3
- Mar 22 · v Metz (H)0-0
- Mar 15 · v LOSC Lille (H)1-2
- Mar 8 · at Nice (A)4-0
- Feb 28 · v Toulouse (H)1-0
Angers SCO
LossWinLossLossDraw
- Apr 5 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)0-0
- Mar 20 · at Lens (A)1-5
- Mar 14 · v Nice (H)0-2
- Mar 7 · at Nantes (A)1-0
- Feb 28 · at Monaco (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Rennes | Angers SCO |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 10% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-2-2 | 3-2-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.