Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Feb 16 · 19:45 · Rennes vs LOSC Lille
Likeliest: Rennes win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Rennes39%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
LOSC Lille35%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 53% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Rennes
LossLossLossWinWin
- Feb 8 · at Saint-Étienne (A)2-0
- Feb 2 · v Strasbourg (H)1-0
- Jan 25 · at Monaco (A)2-3
- Jan 18 · v Brest (H)1-2
- Jan 15 · at Troyes (A)0-1
LOSC Lille
LossLossWinWinLoss
- Feb 8 · v Le Havre (H)1-2
- Feb 1 · v Saint-Étienne (H)4-1
- Jan 29 · v Feyenoord (H)6-1
- Jan 25 · at Strasbourg (A)1-2
- Jan 21 · at Liverpool (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Rennes | LOSC Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-0-5 | 3-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 88% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 13% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.