Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Mar 8 · 16:00 · Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain
Likeliest: Paris Saint Germain win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Rennes33%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Paris Saint Germain43%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 43% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Rennes
WinWinLossWinWin
- Mar 2 · at Montpellier (A)4-0
- Feb 21 · v Reims (H)1-0
- Feb 16 · v LOSC Lille (H)0-2
- Feb 8 · at Saint-Étienne (A)2-0
- Feb 2 · v Strasbourg (H)1-0
Paris Saint Germain
WinWinWinWinLoss
- Mar 5 · v Liverpool (H)0-1
- Mar 1 · v LOSC Lille (H)4-1
- Feb 26 · at Stade Briochin (A)7-0
- Feb 23 · at Olympique Lyonnais (A)3-2
- Feb 19 · v Brest (H)7-0
| Last 10 games | Rennes | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-0-6 | 9-0-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 3.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-0-3 | 9-0-0 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.