Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Feb 2 · 16:15 · Rennes vs Strasbourg

    Likeliest: Rennes win · 40%

    A tight one: we make it 40% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    Rennes40%——
    OursMarket
    Draw26%——
    OursMarket
    Strasbourg34%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals55%——
    Double chance 1X66%——
    Double chance X260%——
    Double chance 1274%——
    Draw no bet (home)54%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Form
    Rennes
    LossLossLossLossLoss
    • Jan 25 · at Monaco (A)2-3
    • Jan 18 · v Brest (H)1-2
    • Jan 15 · at Troyes (A)0-1
    • Jan 11 · v Olympique Marseille (H)1-2
    • Jan 3 · at Nice (A)2-3
    Strasbourg
    WinWinDrawWin
    • Jan 25 · v LOSC Lille (H)2-1
    • Jan 19 · at Olympique Marseille (A)1-1
    • Jan 12 · at Toulouse (A)2-1
    • Jan 5 · v Auxerre (H)3-1
    Last 10 gamesRennesStrasbourg
    Won-drawn-lost0-0-5—
    Goals scored a game1.2—
    Goals conceded a game2.2—
    Over 2.5 goals80%—
    Both teams scored80%—
    Clean sheets0%—
    Last 10 at this venue——

    Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.

    Rennes form·Strasbourg form·Head-to-head record

    Every match we have priced today