Challenger Pro League (Belgium) · Sun, Sep 13 · 14:00 · RFC Liège vs Club NXT U23
Likeliest: RFC Liège win · 54%
A tight one: we make it 54% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
RFC Liège54%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Club NXT U2322%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.7 | 1.0 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
RFC Liège
LossLossWinLossDraw
- Sep 6 · at Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring (A)0-0
- Aug 29 · v FCV Dender (H)1-2
- Aug 23 · at Jong KRC Genk U23 (A)3-2
- Aug 17 · v Royal Francs Borains (H)1-2
- Apr 27 · v Lommel SK (H)1-2
Club NXT U23
LossWinWinWinLoss
- Sep 5 · v KAS Eupen (H)0-1
- Aug 29 · at Patro Eisden Maasmechelen (A)2-1
- Aug 22 · v RFC Seraing (H)3-2
- Apr 11 · at Lommel SK (A)1-0
- Apr 4 · v KAS Eupen (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | RFC Liège | Club NXT U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-0-4 | 3-1-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.