Premier Division (South Africa) · Sat, Sep 19 · 13:00 · Richards Bay FC vs Sekhukhune United
Likeliest: Sekhukhune United win · 41%
We make it 47% for both teams to score. The market says 42%.
4 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Richards Bay FC24%28%−4
OursMarket
Draw35%32%+3
OursMarket
Sekhukhune United41%41%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 38% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 47% | 42% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 59% | 59% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 76% | 72% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 65% | 68% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 37% | 40% | −4 |
| Expected goals | 0.9 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Richards Bay FC
DrawDrawDrawLossLoss
- Sep 13 · at Milford FC (A)0-5
- Sep 4 · v AmaZulu FC (H)1-2
- Aug 26 · v Kaizer Chiefs (H)2-2
- Aug 15 · at Durban City FC (A)1-1
- Aug 11 · at Chippa United (A)1-1
Sekhukhune United
LossWinLossDrawDraw
- Sep 11 · at Stellenbosch (A)1-1
- Sep 5 · v TS Galaxy (H)0-0
- Aug 25 · at Orlando Pirates (A)0-2
- Aug 15 · v Polokwane City (H)2-0
- Aug 12 · at Kaizer Chiefs (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Richards Bay FC | Sekhukhune United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-6-4 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-6-2 | 1-4-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.