USL League One (USA) · Sat, Oct 24 · 22:00 · Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph SC
Likeliest: Richmond Kickers win · 41%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Richmond Kickers41%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Greenville Triumph SC36%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.8 | 1.7 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Richmond Kickers
LossWinLossLossWin
- Oct 17 · v Corpus Christi FC (H)5-1
- Oct 10 · at Sarasota Paradise (A)2-3
- Oct 7 · at FC Naples (A)0-2
- Oct 3 · v One Knoxville SC (H)3-2
- Sep 26 · at New York Cosmos (A)2-3
Greenville Triumph SC
LossLossDrawWinLoss
- Oct 17 · v Charlotte Independence (H)0-3
- Oct 14 · v Spokane Velocity FC (H)4-3
- Oct 11 · at AV Alta FC (A)2-2
- Oct 3 · at AC Boise (A)0-1
- Sep 26 · v Union Omaha SC (H)1-3
| Last 10 games | Richmond Kickers | Greenville Triumph SC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-7 | 2-1-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-3 | 1-2-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.