CAF Champions League (Africa) · Sun, Sep 13 · 15:00 · Rivers United vs FC San Pedro
Likeliest: Rivers United win · 37%
A 33% away win. The market says 19%.
14 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Rivers United37%52%−15
OursMarket
Draw30%29%+1
OursMarket
FC San Pedro33%19%+14
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 36% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 44% | 39% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | 81% | −14 |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | 48% | +15 |
| Double chance 12 | 70% | 71% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 53% | 73% | −20 |
| Expected goals | 1.1 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Rivers United
DrawLossLossLossDraw
- Sep 5 · at FC San Pedro (A)1-1
- Feb 14 · at RSB Berkane (A)0-3
- Feb 8 · v Pyramids FC (H)1-4
- Feb 1 · v Power Dynamos (H)0-1
- Jan 24 · at Power Dynamos (A)0-0
FC San Pedro
Draw
- Sep 5 · v Rivers United (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Rivers United | FC San Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-6 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — |
| Both teams scored | 40% | — |
| Clean sheets | 20% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-0-3 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.