3rd Division, Group 6 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 24 · 13:00 · Ørn-Horten vs Råde
Likeliest: Råde win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Ørn-Horten34%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Råde39%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 46% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Ørn-Horten
LossWinWinLossLoss
- Oct 19 · at Lyn 1896 FK II (A)1-3
- Oct 10 · v Lillehammer (H)0-1
- Oct 3 · at Brumunddal (A)4-0
- Sep 26 · v Fram Larvik (H)4-2
- Sep 19 · v Oppsal (H)0-2
Råde
DrawLossDrawWinWin
- Oct 17 · v Brumunddal (H)14-0
- Oct 12 · at Sandefjord Fotball II (A)2-0
- Oct 5 · at Lyn 1896 FK II (A)0-0
- Sep 26 · v Lillehammer (H)1-5
- Sep 19 · at Fram Larvik (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Ørn-Horten | Råde |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 3.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-0-4 | 2-3-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.