Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Mar 2 · 17:00 · Roma vs Como
Likeliest: Roma win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Roma43%——
OursMarket
Draw30%——
OursMarket
Como27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 70% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Roma
WinDrawWinWinWin
- Feb 24 · v Monza (H)4-0
- Feb 20 · v Porto (H)3-2
- Feb 16 · at Parma (A)1-0
- Feb 13 · at Porto (A)1-1
- Feb 9 · at Venezia (A)1-0
Como
LossLossLossWinWin
- Feb 23 · v Napoli (H)2-1
- Feb 16 · at Fiorentina (A)2-0
- Feb 7 · v Juventus (H)1-2
- Feb 1 · at Bologna (A)0-2
- Jan 25 · v Atalanta (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Roma | Como |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-2-2 | 3-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 63% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 13% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-0 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.