Serie A (Italy) · Fri, Jan 17 · 19:45 · Roma vs Genoa
Likeliest: Roma win · 54%
A tight one: we make it 54% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Roma54%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Genoa20%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Roma
WinDraw
- Jan 12 · at Bologna (A)2-2
- Jan 5 · v Lazio (H)2-0
Genoa
DrawWin
- Jan 12 · v Parma (H)1-0
- Jan 5 · at Lecce (A)0-0