Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Feb 2 · 19:45 · Roma vs Napoli
Likeliest: Roma win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Roma52%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Napoli24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Roma
DrawWinLossWinWin
- Jan 30 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)2-0
- Jan 26 · at Udinese (A)2-1
- Jan 23 · at AZ (A)0-1
- Jan 17 · v Genoa (H)3-1
- Jan 12 · at Bologna (A)2-2
Napoli
WinWinWinWin
- Jan 25 · v Juventus (H)2-1
- Jan 18 · at Atalanta (A)3-2
- Jan 12 · v Hellas Verona (H)2-0
- Jan 4 · at Fiorentina (A)3-0
| Last 10 games | Roma | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-1 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — |
| Both teams scored | 50% | — |
| Clean sheets | 33% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.