Serie A (Italy) · Wed, Oct 29 · 17:30 · Roma vs Parma
Likeliest: Roma win · 64%
A tight one: we make it 64% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Roma64%——
OursMarket
Draw19%——
OursMarket
Parma18%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 82% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 36% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 81% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 78% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Roma
LossWinLossLossWin
- Oct 26 · at Sassuolo (A)1-0
- Oct 23 · v Viktoria Plzeň (H)1-2
- Oct 18 · v Inter (H)0-1
- Oct 5 · at Fiorentina (A)2-1
- Oct 2 · v LOSC Lille (H)0-1
Parma
DrawWinLossDrawDraw
- Oct 25 · v Como (H)0-0
- Oct 19 · at Genoa (A)0-0
- Oct 4 · v Lecce (H)0-1
- Sep 29 · v Torino (H)2-1
- Sep 21 · at Cremonese (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Roma | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-0-4 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-4 | 1-6-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.