Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Nov 9 · 17:00 · Roma vs Udinese
Likeliest: Roma win · 58%
A tight one: we make it 58% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Roma58%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Udinese18%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 82% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 42% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 76% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Roma
LossWinWinLossWin
- Nov 6 · at Rangers (A)2-0
- Nov 2 · at Milan (A)0-1
- Oct 29 · v Parma (H)2-1
- Oct 26 · at Sassuolo (A)1-0
- Oct 23 · v Viktoria Plzeň (H)1-2
Udinese
DrawDrawWinLossWin
- Nov 1 · v Atalanta (H)1-0
- Oct 29 · at Juventus (A)1-3
- Oct 25 · v Lecce (H)3-2
- Oct 20 · at Cremonese (A)1-1
- Oct 5 · v Cagliari (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Roma | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-0-4 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-0-4 | 3-1-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.