3rd Division, Group 2 (Norway) · Mon, Oct 19 · 17:00 · Rosenborg BK II vs NTNUI
Likeliest: Rosenborg BK II win · 42%
A 29% draw. The market says 21%.
7 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Rosenborg BK II42%44%−2
OursMarket
Draw29%21%+7
OursMarket
NTNUI30%35%−5
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 74% | −24 |
| Both teams score | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | 65% | +5 |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | 56% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 79% | −7 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | 56% | +2 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Rosenborg BK II
LossWinDrawLossLoss
- Oct 12 · at Strindheim (A)1-5
- Oct 2 · v Melhus (H)1-4
- Sep 25 · at Aalesund FK II (A)0-0
- Sep 21 · at Spjelkavik (A)4-0
- Sep 13 · v Nardo (H)2-5
NTNUI
DrawWinLossWinWin
- Oct 10 · v Volda (H)1-0
- Oct 3 · at Aalesund FK II (A)3-1
- Sep 26 · v Nardo (H)2-5
- Sep 19 · at FK Kvik (A)2-0
- Sep 12 · v Molde FK II (H)4-4
| Last 10 games | Rosenborg BK II | NTNUI |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-6 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-1-3 | 2-0-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.