Challenger Pro League (Belgium) · Fri, Sep 18 · 18:00 · Royal Francs Borains vs RSCA Futures U23
Likeliest: Royal Francs Borains win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. The market says 50%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Royal Francs Borains50%50%0
OursMarket
Draw26%25%0
OursMarket
RSCA Futures U2325%25%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 57% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | 75% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | 50% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 75% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | 66% | +1 |
| Expected goals | 1.6 | 1.2 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Royal Francs Borains
LossWinLossWinWin
- Sep 6 · v KSC Lokeren-Temse (H)3-0
- Aug 30 · at Royal Excelsior Virton (A)1-0
- Aug 23 · v Koninklijke Sporting Hasselt (H)0-1
- Aug 17 · at RFC Liège (A)2-1
- Apr 17 · at Patro Eisden Maasmechelen (A)0-4
RSCA Futures U23
LossLossLossDrawLoss
- Sep 12 · v KSC Lokeren-Temse (H)2-6
- Sep 5 · at KAA Gent Reserve U23 (A)2-2
- Aug 29 · v K. Beerschot V.A. (H)0-1
- Aug 21 · v Royal Excelsior Virton (H)0-1
- Aug 15 · at Patro Eisden Maasmechelen (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Royal Francs Borains | RSCA Futures U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 1-1-8 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-2-4 | 2-1-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.