Pro League (Belgium) · Sun, Oct 25 · 18:15 · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge
Likeliest: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise win · 73%
Likely score: 2–0
A tight one: we make it 73% for the home win. The market says 73%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise73%73%0
OursMarket
Draw17%16%0
OursMarket
Cercle Brugge11%11%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 65% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 51% | 53% | −2 |
| Double chance 1X | 89% | 89% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 27% | 27% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 83% | 84% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 87% | 87% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 2.8 | 1.0 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
WinWinDrawDrawWin
- Oct 18 · v KFC Nijlen (H)3-0
- Oct 15 · v Real Sociedad (H)1-1
- Oct 11 · v Oud-Heverlee Leuven (H)1-1
- Sep 20 · at Royal Antwerp FC (A)2-0
- Sep 17 · at Viktoria Plzeň (A)3-0
Cercle Brugge
LossDrawLossLossWin
- Oct 16 · at Koninklijke Sporting Hasselt (A)2-1
- Oct 10 · v RSC Anderlecht (H)1-2
- Sep 19 · at RC Sporting Charleroi (A)2-3
- Sep 12 · at Oud-Heverlee Leuven (A)1-1
- Sep 6 · v KAA Gent (H)0-3
| Last 10 games | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | Cercle Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-3-0 | 1-3-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.4 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-0 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.