Botola Pro (Morocco) · Tue, Oct 13 · 18:00 · RS Berkane vs Renaissance Zemamra
Likeliest: RS Berkane win · 65%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 65% for the home win. The market says 64%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
RS Berkane65%64%+1
OursMarket
Draw25%25%+1
OursMarket
Renaissance Zemamra9%11%−2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 36% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 41% | 39% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 91% | 89% | +2 |
| Double chance X2 | 35% | 36% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 75% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 88% | 85% | +3 |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 0.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
RS Berkane
LossWinWinDrawDraw
- Oct 8 · at Union Touarga Sport (A)0-0
- Sep 27 · at Moghreb Atlético Tetuán (A)0-0
- Jul 5 · at Difaâ Hassani El-Jadidi (A)3-1
- Jul 2 · v Wydad Casablanca (H)2-0
- Jun 28 · at Fath Union Sport (A)1-2
Renaissance Zemamra
DrawDrawLossLossLoss
- Oct 8 · v Hassania d'Agadir (H)2-5
- Oct 3 · at Raja Club Athletic (A)0-1
- Sep 27 · at MAS de Fès (A)1-2
- Jul 5 · at AS FAR Rabat (A)0-0
- Jul 2 · v Fath Union Sport (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | RS Berkane | Renaissance Zemamra |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-4-2 | 1-4-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-0 | 1-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.