Pro League (Belgium) · Sun, Sep 6 · 16:30 · RSC Anderlecht vs KRC Genk
Likeliest: RSC Anderlecht win · 51%
A 51% home win. The market says 39%.
12 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
RSC Anderlecht51%39%+12
OursMarket
Draw24%26%−3
OursMarket
KRC Genk25%34%−9
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 57% | −4 |
| Both teams score | 55% | 59% | −4 |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | 66% | +9 |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | 61% | −12 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 74% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | 54% | +13 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
RSC Anderlecht
LossWinWinLossWin
- Sep 3 · v KV Kortrijk (H)1-0
- Aug 30 · at Royale Union Saint-Gilloise (A)0-3
- Aug 27 · v Kairat (H)3-0
- Aug 20 · at Kairat (A)3-0
- Aug 16 · at SK Beveren (A)0-1
KRC Genk
DrawLossWinDrawWin
- Aug 28 · v SK Beveren (H)4-0
- Aug 22 · at Royal Antwerp FC (A)4-4
- Aug 15 · v KVC Westerlo (H)3-2
- Aug 9 · at SV Zulte Waregem (A)1-2
- May 31 · at KAA Gent (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | RSC Anderlecht | KRC Genk |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-1-2 | 2-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-0-0 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.