Pro League (Belgium) · Thu, Sep 3 · 18:30 · RSC Anderlecht vs KV Kortrijk
Likeliest: RSC Anderlecht win · 45%
A 30% away win. The market says 17%.
13 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
RSC Anderlecht45%62%−18
OursMarket
Draw26%21%+5
OursMarket
KV Kortrijk30%17%+13
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 61% | −8 |
| Both teams score | 52% | 56% | −4 |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | 83% | −13 |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | 38% | +18 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 79% | −5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | 79% | −19 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
RSC Anderlecht
WinLossWinWinLoss
- Aug 30 · at Royale Union Saint-Gilloise (A)0-3
- Aug 27 · v Kairat (H)3-0
- Aug 20 · at Kairat (A)3-0
- Aug 16 · at SK Beveren (A)0-1
- Aug 13 · v PAOK (H)3-2
KV Kortrijk
LossWinLossLossLoss
- Aug 29 · v RC Sporting Charleroi (H)1-3
- Aug 15 · v Royal Antwerp FC (H)0-3
- Aug 7 · at Club Brugge KV (A)0-3
- Apr 17 · v RWDM Brussels (H)3-1
- Apr 11 · at SK Beveren (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | RSC Anderlecht | KV Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 4-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 0-3-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.