Pro League (Belgium) · Sat, Sep 19 · 18:45 · RSC Anderlecht vs SV Zulte Waregem
Likeliest: RSC Anderlecht win · 54%
A tight one: we make it 54% for the home win. The market says 53%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
RSC Anderlecht54%53%0
OursMarket
Draw25%25%0
OursMarket
SV Zulte Waregem21%22%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 55% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 58% | 56% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | 78% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | 47% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 75% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 72% | 71% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.7 | 1.0 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
RSC Anderlecht
LossWinDrawWinLoss
- Sep 16 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)1-2
- Sep 11 · at KV Mechelen (A)1-0
- Sep 6 · v KRC Genk (H)0-0
- Sep 3 · v KV Kortrijk (H)1-0
- Aug 30 · at Royale Union Saint-Gilloise (A)0-3
SV Zulte Waregem
DrawWinDrawWinLoss
- Sep 13 · v RC Sporting Charleroi (H)0-1
- Sep 6 · at KV Kortrijk (A)2-0
- Aug 30 · at KVC Westerlo (A)2-2
- Aug 22 · v SK Beveren (H)4-0
- Aug 15 · at Royale Union Saint-Gilloise (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | RSC Anderlecht | SV Zulte Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 3-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.