Challenger Pro League (Belgium) · Sat, Aug 29 · 14:00 · RSCA Futures U23 vs K. Beerschot V.A.
Likeliest: RSCA Futures U23 win · 46%
A 25% draw. The market says 21%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
RSCA Futures U2346%17%+28
OursMarket
Draw25%21%+5
OursMarket
K. Beerschot V.A.29%62%−33
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | 38% | +33 |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | 83% | −28 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 79% | −5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | 22% | +39 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
RSCA Futures U23
LossLossWinLossLoss
- Aug 21 · v Royal Excelsior Virton (H)0-1
- Aug 15 · at Patro Eisden Maasmechelen (A)1-2
- Apr 17 · v OC Charleroi (H)5-0
- Apr 11 · at RWDM Brussels (A)1-2
- Apr 4 · v SK Beveren (H)0-5
K. Beerschot V.A.
WinLossLossWinLoss
- Aug 22 · at FCV Dender (A)0-2
- Aug 16 · v KAA Gent Reserve U23 (H)4-0
- May 9 · v Lommel SK (H)1-3
- May 2 · at Lommel SK (A)1-3
- Apr 27 · v Patro Eisden Maasmechelen (H)3-2
| Last 10 games | RSCA Futures U23 | K. Beerschot V.A. |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-7 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-4 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.