Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Jan 4 · 16:00 · Saint-Étienne vs Reims

    Likeliest: Saint-Étienne win · 45%

    A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    Saint-Étienne45%——
    OursMarket
    Draw27%——
    OursMarket
    Reims29%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals40%——
    Double chance 1X71%——
    Double chance X255%——
    Double chance 1273%——
    Draw no bet (home)61%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Every match we have priced today