División Profesional (Bolivia) · Fri, Oct 9 · 19:00 · San Antonio Bulo-Bulo vs CD Real Tomayapo
Likeliest: San Antonio Bulo-Bulo win · 51%
Likely score: 1–0
We make it 43% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 37%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
San Antonio Bulo-Bulo51%51%0
OursMarket
Draw25%24%+1
OursMarket
CD Real Tomayapo24%25%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 63% | −6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 60% | 61% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | 75% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | 49% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 76% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | 67% | +1 |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
San Antonio Bulo-Bulo
LossLossLossLossWin
- Sep 18 · at Independiente Petrolero (A)3-1
- Sep 11 · v Club Aurora (H)0-2
- Sep 4 · at CDT Real Oruro (A)0-2
- Aug 26 · v The Strongest (H)0-3
- Aug 22 · at Oriente Petrolero (A)0-4
CD Real Tomayapo
DrawWinLossLossLoss
- Sep 17 · v Oriente Petrolero (H)0-2
- Sep 13 · v Bolívar (H)1-2
- Sep 6 · at The Strongest (A)1-3
- Aug 26 · at Real Potosí (A)1-0
- Aug 23 · v Club Always Ready (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | San Antonio Bulo-Bulo | CD Real Tomayapo |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-6 | 2-2-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-0-3 | 2-0-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.