Primera Nacional (Argentina) · Sat, Oct 24 · 20:00 · San Martín de San Juan vs Gimnasia Jujuy
Likeliest: San Martín de San Juan win · 53%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 53% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
San Martín de San Juan53%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Gimnasia Jujuy22%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.7 | 1.0 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
San Martín de San Juan
WinLossLossDrawDraw
- Oct 17 · v Temperley (H)1-1
- Oct 10 · at Deportivo Maipú (A)1-1
- Oct 4 · v Almagro (H)1-2
- Sep 27 · at Patronato (A)0-3
- Sep 20 · v Colegiales (H)2-0
Gimnasia Jujuy
DrawDrawLossDrawWin
- Oct 17 · at Nueva Chicago (A)1-0
- Oct 10 · v Gimnasia y Tiro de Salta (H)2-2
- Oct 3 · at Temperley (A)1-2
- Sep 28 · v San Martín de Tucumán (H)2-2
- Sep 20 · at Deportivo Maipú (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | San Martín de San Juan | Gimnasia Jujuy |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 4-5-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-1 | 2-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.