Superettan (Sweden) · Sat, Sep 19 · 15:00 · Sandvikens IF vs Örebro
Likeliest: Sandvikens IF win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. The market says 46%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sandvikens IF46%46%0
OursMarket
Draw26%26%+1
OursMarket
Örebro28%28%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 56% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 59% | 58% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 72% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | 54% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 74% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | 62% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.7 | 1.4 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sandvikens IF
DrawDrawWinLossDraw
- Sep 15 · at IK Brage (A)1-1
- Sep 9 · v IK Oddevold (H)0-1
- Sep 5 · at Helsingborg (A)2-0
- Aug 30 · v Östers IF (H)1-1
- Aug 23 · at Norrby IF (A)1-1
Örebro
WinDrawLossWinDraw
- Sep 14 · v United IK Nordic (H)1-1
- Sep 10 · at GIF Sundsvall (A)3-0
- Sep 7 · v Östersunds FK (H)0-1
- Sep 1 · at Helsingborg (A)1-1
- Aug 25 · v Varbergs BoIS (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Sandvikens IF | Örebro |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-1-3 | 2-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.