3rd Division, Group 6 (Norway) · Mon, Oct 19 · 17:00 · Sarpsborg 08 II vs Bjoerkelangen
Likeliest: Sarpsborg 08 II win · 66%
A tight one: we make it 66% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Sarpsborg 08 II66%——
OursMarket
Draw19%——
OursMarket
Bjoerkelangen14%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 86% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 34% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 81% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 82% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sarpsborg 08 II
WinDrawWinLossDraw
- Oct 12 · v Raelingen FK (H)1-1
- Oct 3 · at Drøbak/Frogn (A)1-4
- Sep 26 · v Gjøvik-Lyn (H)3-2
- Sep 21 · at Lyn 1896 FK II (A)2-2
- Sep 12 · v Lillehammer (H)3-1
Bjoerkelangen
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 10 · v Gjøvik-Lyn (H)1-7
- Oct 3 · at Elverum (A)0-5
- Sep 26 · v Drøbak/Frogn (H)0-6
- Sep 19 · at Lillehammer (A)1-7
- Sep 12 · v Brumunddal (H)2-4
| Last 10 games | Sarpsborg 08 II | Bjoerkelangen |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 0-0-10 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-1-1 | 0-0-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.