Austrian Bundesliga (Austria) · Sat, Sep 19 · 15:00 · SC Austria Lustenau vs SC Rheindorf Altach
Likeliest: SC Rheindorf Altach win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the away win. The market says 42%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SC Austria Lustenau29%32%−3
OursMarket
Draw28%26%+2
OursMarket
SC Rheindorf Altach42%42%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 55% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 60% | 59% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 58% | 58% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 71% | 68% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 74% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 41% | 43% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 1.4 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SC Austria Lustenau
LossWinDrawLossLoss
- Sep 13 · at Austria Wien (A)1-2
- Aug 28 · v WSG Tirol (H)0-4
- Aug 22 · at SK Sturm Graz (A)1-1
- Aug 15 · v Wolfsberger AC (H)2-1
- Aug 8 · at Grazer AK 1902 (A)1-2
SC Rheindorf Altach
WinLossLossLossLoss
- Sep 12 · v Grazer AK 1902 (H)1-2
- Aug 29 · at LASK (A)0-3
- Aug 22 · v TSV Hartberg (H)1-2
- Aug 15 · at SK Sturm Graz (A)0-1
- Aug 7 · v WSG Tirol (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | SC Austria Lustenau | SC Rheindorf Altach |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-3 | 1-0-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 83% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.