Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sun, Aug 30 · 18:00 · SC Cambuur vs FC Twente
Likeliest: SC Cambuur win · 44%
We make it 62% for both teams to score. The market says 55%.
7 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SC Cambuur44%12%+32
OursMarket
Draw23%17%+6
OursMarket
FC Twente33%71%−38
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 66% | +5 |
| Both teams score | 62% | 55% | +7 |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | 29% | +38 |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | 88% | −32 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 83% | −6 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | 14% | +42 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SC Cambuur
LossWinLossLossLoss
- Aug 23 · v Feyenoord (H)2-5
- Aug 15 · at Fortuna Sittard (A)1-3
- Aug 7 · v Excelsior (H)0-4
- Apr 24 · v Vitesse (H)2-1
- Apr 17 · at De Graafschap (A)1-3
FC Twente
LossDrawWinLossWin
- Aug 27 · at Qarabağ (A)2-1
- Aug 20 · v Qarabağ (H)0-1
- Aug 16 · v PEC Zwolle (H)3-1
- Aug 13 · at DAC 1904 (A)3-3
- Aug 9 · at SC Heerenveen (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | SC Cambuur | FC Twente |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-6 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-3 | 4-4-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.