Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Feb 8 · 14:30 · SC Freiburg vs Heidenheim
Likeliest: SC Freiburg win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
SC Freiburg51%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Heidenheim23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SC Freiburg
WinLossLossLossWin
- Feb 1 · at VfL Bochum 1848 (A)1-0
- Jan 25 · v FC Bayern München (H)1-2
- Jan 18 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)0-4
- Jan 14 · at Eintracht Frankfurt (A)1-4
- Jan 11 · v Holstein Kiel (H)3-2
Heidenheim
WinDrawLossLossLoss
- Feb 1 · v Borussia Dortmund (H)1-2
- Jan 25 · at FC Augsburg (A)1-2
- Jan 18 · v St. Pauli (H)0-2
- Jan 15 · at Werder Bremen (A)3-3
- Jan 11 · v FC Union Berlin (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | SC Freiburg | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-0-3 | 1-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.