Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Mar 8 · 17:30 · SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
Likeliest: SC Freiburg win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
SC Freiburg45%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
RB Leipzig29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SC Freiburg
WinWinWinWinDraw
- Mar 2 · at FC Augsburg (A)0-0
- Feb 21 · v Werder Bremen (H)5-0
- Feb 15 · at St. Pauli (A)1-0
- Feb 8 · v Heidenheim (H)1-0
- Feb 1 · at VfL Bochum 1848 (A)1-0
RB Leipzig
WinDrawDrawWinLoss
- Mar 1 · v FSV Mainz 05 (H)1-2
- Feb 26 · v VfL Wolfsburg (H)1-0
- Feb 23 · v Heidenheim (H)2-2
- Feb 14 · at FC Augsburg (A)0-0
- Feb 9 · v St. Pauli (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | SC Freiburg | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-3 | 3-5-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 56% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 0-3-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.